Expecting a Golden Year »

Would someone tell Andrew and other journalists to provide some opinion, conjecture, and here-say with these factoids? Otherwise, I might start thinking that the only reason America is the best nation to live in the world is because of our ability to blow stuff up.

 

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Maverick Up »

To those who keep saying that Obama needs to man up and give us the straight truth about the nation’s budget (I’m looking at you Andrew Sullivan), I have two words for you: Jimmy Carter.

We do nothing but make fun of Carter (I can’t say I completely blame anyone), but complain when politicians don’t reenact the one thing, for which, he is hated.

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It’s Cool, We Got It »

In his latest, David Warsh unknowingly (which is usually how good points are made) makes another example of how America constructs its points.

The ninth decision – the opportunity on which Obama and the 111th Congress took a pass – was the chance to tackle the massive concentration and dysfunctionality of the US financial industry that emerged from the crisis of 2008.

Instead of using the short period between his election and inauguration to draw up blueprints for a restructuring of the banking industry, including its deeply-troubled government-sponsored mortgage markets, Obama and his economic team simply ratified the emergency policies of the autumn of 2008 – policies that made US financial institutions bigger, fewer, more dominant and probably less stable than before.

While I agree with David, the point that he is unknowingly making is how these decisions past muster in this country. Simply, any politician can now (rather, “and has”) go on television and say simply this: “This idea is so bad that even our crazy left-wing president won’t do it.”

It’s a tactic so simple that if Machiavelli were to be reanimated now, he would find himself outmoded and utterly useless. You see Mac, we don’t need you anymore because in reality, we want the horse shit you were lying about.

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United States of Whatever »

Forgive me for my, per the usual, jaded tone, but I find it almost comedic to see Julian Assange threatening Bank of America with releasing some sort of damning piece of information that will in anyway threaten the conglomerate.

Bank of America could literally be found of torturing its own employees, and not enough people would care.  How do I know this?  We, as a nation, actually torture people and not enough people care.  You know what people will care about?  If they find out that Bank of America stole their money.  Ironically, the transfer of wealth from the public to the oligarchy that is business through the middleman of government in the U.S. seems to be amiss among the public.

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Clear The Air »

Listen, fine, I’m not Greg Mankiw, but the commentariat missed the boat on Obama’s deal completely.

Here’s the deal, plain and simple. A tax cut passed into law that was set to expire because that’s how it had been budgeted. The economy drifted into a black hole, and the reason why liberals want to extend the tax cuts for the non upper class in the U.S. is because it is the middle class that is hurting from the recession, not the upper class. How is that so hard to understand?

People don’t have work, and we’re sticking to our previous economic ideology? At this point, I’m throwing the kitchen sink of economic tools so that I don’t have people with pitch forks forming mobs. And by the way, that constituent who told Mike Pence, “I can get another job, but I can’t get another country.” Do me a favor, and call me when your unemployment runs out, or try to tell that to someone who can’t find a job. At this point, I would venture a guess there are more countries than available job openings per job applicant.

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That’s WRong, Let’s Do That »

Steven Hayward writes:

The real problem with academic political science is its insistence on attempting to emulate the empiricism of economics and other social sciences, such that the multiple regression analysis is considered about the only legitimate tool of the trade.

Um, actually, the problem with political science as economics is that not even economics has achieved the ability to be economical. In fact, there are political affiliations within economics (e.g. Keynesians, Austrians, other guys, etc.). I could probably become a political science professor about economic politics.

The problem with regression and statistics has always been that by adding or subtracting a variable, or calling a variable useless or a freak outlier, the results are changed based on what point you want to win. And while the public could actually sit down and think for themselves about what variables matter and what analyses have merit, these papers almost always read like a Twilight novel written by a law professor. And even if the public could find the time to read through all the verbosity, I’m pretty sure they’d rather watch football.

I mean, seriously people, tax cuts pay for themselves. Sort of. In a way. If you think about it… while on drugs.

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Hurry Up and Wait »

Kevin Hall reports that unemployment is on the rise while the private sector has been hiring above the forecasted rate.

Obviously, we need to hire people to account for all the things we don’t make and keep track of all the others who don’t have jobs and can’t pay their bills.

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Wait, it Has to be Your Bull »

Kevin Hall has a good write-up on Ben Bernanke’s remarks regarding why he feels Lehman Brothers could not be saved.

Here’s the deal, a long story short, the gist of it, as it were… As Lehman was going to fail, Henry Paulson and Tim Geithner (then head of the New York Fed) assembled a meeting that included many well dressed men in New York. There, they discussed that someone should buy Lehman because of the mal effect its failure could have on the market. The Fed/government was not going to help, so no one took the bait, and Lehman failed.

My question is not as to why other institutions were saved (only to be bought later in a merger), but rather why were institutions like AIG helped to such an effect. Look no further than Matt Taibbi’s write up on AIG and how Goldman benefited from AIGs demise to the point where the debt contracts were paid on the dollar, not just pennies on it.

I know you couldn’t do anything to “save” Lehman, but I think we should let everyone know that the Fed and the Treasury pulled out every trick in the book to help every other institution after Lehman failed. Indeed, if there are such things as institutions, which are too big to fail, then what was Lehman?

Of course, all of this is moot in implicit state capitalism. The not-always-ready-state makes mistakes, or misreads situations that give the appearance that there’s a free market where no state agency makes any interfering maneuvers. So, in the end, I say it’s a job a well done.

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On Democracy »

Many weeks ago on Facebook, a friend of mine wrote in regards to the iPhone staying proprietary to the AT&T network, “muuuuaahahahahaaha! Dont worry, verizon isn’t as good as everyone claims it to be.”

It’s funny how we, as Americans, claim our democracy is the best form of available government, yet we continuously find examples where democracy in its barest form, is purported to be wrong (e.g. look above). If we’re willing to acknowledge that society at large makes decisions in plurality (or majority) that are wrong, then likewise, on the other side of the political spectrum, the free market must fail on similar principles.

And while your mind tackles with the logic that once again, there cannot be two sets of “facts,” the reality is that while Verizon may not be “as good as everyone claims it to be” (whatever that means), there is a reason why users of AT&T say it sucks.

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Points Made Without Knowledge »

Robert Samuelson writes a good op-ed in today’s Washington Post.  He ends by writing:

A VAT might be the least bad tax, though my preference is for energy taxes. But what’s wrong with the simplistic VAT advocacy is that it deemphasizes spending cuts.

That’s fair enough.  However, earlier in the article, Samuelson makes a point without knowing it.  And I don’t know if that’s because he didn’t notice what he wrote, or he would rather not draw attention to it.

But the actual increase might be closer to 16 percent because there would be huge pressures to exempt groceries, rent and housing, health care, education and charitable groups. Together, they account for nearly half of $10 trillion of consumer spending.

Samuelson is stating that the VAT wouldn’t be enough to lower the deficit.  But, he ends up making a point that it’s just plainly expensive to make a living, period.

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