One of my favorite pseudo-libertarian blogging heads gets it wrong. It’s completely uninteresting and predictable that the two leading collegial Messiahs garnered the most votes. Furthermore, IOZ’s particular strain of fatalism prevents him from predicting the future when a blend of romanticism, mysticism, and happenstance is involved in current events. The prevailing conventional wisdom that the nominees will be Clinton 2.0 and Romney or Giuliani is, like most prevailing conventional wisdoms, most likely a simple gut reaction.
The prevailing conventional wisdom also posits that Huckabee’s win is a “good thing” for McCain. I think this is completely incorrect. Here’s why:
The tea leaves are scattered, erratic, and the only meme that can be generalized to New Hampshire is that Huckabee is now a “serious” candidate. This means that, from here on out, anything you think you know about Huckabee’s chances is, in all likelihood, completely wrong.
That Huckabee is now viable is both fortunate and laughable. It’s fortunate in that it broadens the field. It’s laughable in that, as I’ve written before, Huckabee is a complete youth pastor who enjoys sharing his “message of vertical politics.” Quickly now, ask yourself “What the hell is/are vertical politics?” Surprisingly enough, vertical thoughts and vertical politics involve “think[ing] on things from God’s perspective.” I can only hope that, someday, God will stop perseverating upon abortion and gay marriage and begin to ponder universal health care and energy independence. Until then, I’ll be voting for Obama.